Overview

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Raoul Paul links Bitcoin’s price movement to the Global M2 money supply with a 10-week lag. M2 supply decline to $104B aligns with Bitcoin’s correction, but a bounce 8 de sept. de 2025 Bitcoin investors are facing a wave of anxiety as the leading digital asset’s price has dropped below $54,000, sending market sentiment into “extreme fear.” The decline The Crypto Fear and Greed Index entered Extreme Fear, falling to a score of 17 following $168.4M single-day outflows from Bitcoin ETFs. The Fear & Greed Index is at record highs, making a correction almost inevitable in the short term. Bitcoin trying for sixth green weekly candle in a row BTC/USDT 1 Fear & Greed Index shows ‘Greed’ with a 63 score. Altcoins like ETH, DOGE, SOL, ADA show moderate gains. Bitcoin (BTC) sparked renewed crypto market vigor

Bitcoin Index: Extreme Fear Grips Market as BTC Consolidates at $16,000

The Bitcoin market is currently experiencing a surge of anxiety, reflected in the Bitcoin Index, as BTC consolidates around $16,000. Sentiment has plunged into “extreme fear,” mirroring recent market volatility and significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has entered Extreme Fear, reflecting investor nervousness.

Why the Extreme Fear?

Several factors are contributing to this current state of extreme fear in the Bitcoin market:

  • Price Correction: Bitcoin investors are on edge as the leading digital asset’s price has faced a notable correction. This price movement is a primary driver of the current fear levels.
  • ETF Outflows: Recent data reveals substantial single-day outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, exceeding $168.4 million. This exodus of capital has amplified the negative sentiment.
  • Market Uncertainty: The overall macroeconomic climate, coupled with regulatory uncertainty surrounding cryptocurrencies, is adding to the existing anxiety among investors.

Raoul Pal's Perspective on Bitcoin and Global M2 Supply

Renowned investor Raoul Pal has highlighted a connection between Bitcoin's price movement and the Global M2 money supply. Pal links Bitcoin’s price movement to the Global M2 money supply with a 10-week lag. He notes that the M2 supply decline to $104B aligns with Bitcoin’s correction, suggesting a correlation between monetary policy and Bitcoin's valuation. This perspective offers a potential explanation for some of Bitcoin's recent price action.

Fear & Greed Index: A Contrarian Indicator?

While the Fear & Greed Index currently indicates extreme fear, it's worth noting its historical significance as a contrarian indicator. Some analysts believe that periods of extreme fear can present buying opportunities for long-term investors. Conversely, periods of extreme greed, where the Fear & Greed Index is at record highs, may signal an impending correction.

Bitcoin's Potential Rebound

Despite the current negative sentiment, it's important to consider Bitcoin's historical resilience. Bitcoin (BTC) has shown the potential to spark renewed crypto market vigor in the past. Altcoins like ETH, DOGE, SOL, ADA often follow Bitcoin's lead, experiencing moderate gains when BTC recovers.

While short-term volatility is expected, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains a topic of ongoing debate and analysis. The market now tries for a sixth green weekly candle in a row BTC/USDT 1 Fear & Greed Index shows ‘Greed’ with a 63 score.

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