Will the Fed Raise Interest Rates by 100bps This Week? Bitcoin's Potential Reaction
The big question on every investor's mind: Will the Fed raise interest rates by 100bps this week? The speculation is swirling, and its impact on assets like Bitcoin is a major concern. 19 de sept. de 2025 Bitcoin could face corrections this week as reports state that the Feds plan to hike interest rates by 100 BPS, the highest in 40 years.
Bitcoin and Interest Rate Hikes: A Historical Perspective
Bitcoin, often seen as an alternative asset and a hedge against inflation, has historically responded to changes in interest rate policies. Here’s how different scenarios could play out:
Scenario 1: The Fed Hikes by 100bps
A massive 100bps hike would signal the Fed's determination to combat inflation, potentially triggering a risk-off sentiment in the market. This could lead to a short-term correction for Bitcoin. As 10x Research noted (9 de sept. de 2025), an aggressive Fed rate cut may signal economic worry, not reassurance, weighing over risk assets, including bitcoin. Conversely, an aggressive hike might equally rattle the market.
Scenario 2: A Smaller Rate Hike (or No Hike)
Despite cooling inflation, there is growing interest in slashing interest rates to alleviate pressure on the economy. A smaller hike, or even holding rates steady, might be perceived positively by the market, potentially leading to a short-term rally for Bitcoin. FXStreet analyst Lallalit Srijandorn said in a Bitcoin rallied to a new all-time high on Monday as investors awaited an expected interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve later this week. This shows the potential for positive movement with lower rate expectations.
Volatility Expected Regardless
Wednesday’s upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision will likely cause volatility spikes in risky assets like Bitcoin. The uncertainty surrounding the Fed's decision is enough to create turbulent market conditions.
The Fed's Last Move: A Look Back
For context, consider the Fed's recent actions. 18 de sept. de 2025 The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points today (bps), bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 4.75% to 5%. This provides a benchmark for understanding potential future moves.
What to Watch This Week
Keep a close eye on economic data releases and Fed statements leading up to the announcement. These can provide clues about the Fed's intentions and help you anticipate the market's reaction. The price of the flagship cryptocurrency and other risk assets will likely react strongly to the news.