BRICS Expansion: Why It Won't Fix the Imbalance

The expansion of BRICS, initially seen as a move towards a more balanced global order, faces growing scrutiny. Many analysts believe that, despite the inclusion of new member states, the fundamental power dynamics within the bloc will remain skewed. Ultimately, BRICS expansion won’t address the bloc’s issues with imbalance.

For years, BRICS has been viewed as a welcoming ground for nations seeking alternatives to Western-dominated institutions. The allure of increased economic cooperation and political leverage has driven numerous countries to express interest in joining the alliance.

Yet, as the collective is debating criteria, the reality is that the BRICS expansion won’t address its greatest issue: imbalance. The stark economic disparity among member states, particularly the overwhelming dominance of China, casts a long shadow over the potential for equitable collaboration.

The China Factor: A Major Source of Imbalance

Considering its economic standing, China’s economic output of $19 trillion in 2025 will be 50 significantly larger than the combined output of the other BRICS members. This economic weight translates into considerable political influence, potentially overshadowing the voices and interests of smaller nations within the group.

Concerns have been raised about whether the expansion will dilute China's influence or simply exacerbate the existing imbalance. Some fear that new members may become economically dependent on China, further solidifying its position as the dominant force within BRICS.

Challenges and Implications of a Stalled Expansion

BRICS has reportedly suspended its strategic expansion efforts, raising questions about the implications and challenges this decision presents. This pause suggests internal disagreements about the criteria for membership and the long-term goals of the bloc. While the official reasons are varied, the underlying concern about maintaining a balance of power is likely a significant factor.

The future of BRICS hinges on its ability to address these imbalances and create a truly collaborative environment where all members have a voice. Without addressing the underlying power dynamics, the expansion risks becoming a superficial exercise with limited impact on the global stage. Focusing on equitable growth, diversified trade relationships, and shared decision-making will be crucial for BRICS to realize its full potential.