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A recent report by Goldman Sachs now sees a 35% chance of a recession in the next 12 months, up from 20% previously. The bank has also raised its inflation estimate Goldman also sees Chinese over the last month had led it to lift its fourth-quarter 2025 growth forecast to 1.0% from 0.5% and cut its 12-month recession odds to Goldman Sachs has lowered the odds of the United States slipping into a recession in the next 12 months to 20% from 25% following the latest weekly jobless claims Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists said they now see a 65% chance of a US recession in the next 12 months, citing President Donald Trump ’s tariffs on US trading Goldman Sachs now sees a 35% chance of recession within 12 months due to President Donald Trump's escalating trade war. The bank increased its inflation estimate Goldman Sachs had a previous estimate at 25%, cut now to just 20%. From GS economists: But the easing in financial conditions, the rebound in the housing market, and Our economists say there’s a 20% chance of recession in the next 12 months, down from their projection of 25%. That’s still slightly above the unconditional average post Economists at Goldman Sachs are slightly raising their expectations for a recession at some point over the next year, citing policy changes out of Washington as the key risk. The team, led by

Is a Recession Imminent? Goldman Sachs Recession Forecast: What You Need to Know.

Worried about a potential economic downturn? Stay informed about the latest recession predictions from top financial institutions. This article focuses on the Goldman Sachs recession forecast for the next 12 months, providing insights and analysis to help you understand the current economic climate.

Goldman Sachs Recession Odds: A Shifting Landscape

Goldman Sachs has been actively adjusting its recession probability forecasts. Initially, A recent report by Goldman Sachs now sees a 35% chance of a recession in the next 12 months, up from 20% previously. The bank has also raised its inflation estimate. However, the landscape is constantly evolving.

Recent data has led to revisions. Goldman Sachs has lowered the odds of the United States slipping into a recession in the next 12 months to 20% from 25% following the latest weekly jobless claims. This change reflects a more optimistic outlook based on improved economic indicators.

Key Factors Influencing Goldman Sachs\' Recession Predictions

Several factors influence Goldman Sachs\' economic models. These include:

China\'s Role in the Global Economy:

Goldman also sees Chinese data over the last month had led it to lift its fourth-quarter 2025 growth forecast to 1.0% from 0.5% and cut its 12-month recession odds to. China\'s economic performance impacts global growth, influencing recession probabilities elsewhere.

Recession Forecasts: A Historical Perspective

It\'s important to remember that economic forecasts are not guarantees. While Our economists say there’s a 20% chance of recession in the next 12 months, down from their projection of 25%. That’s still slightly above the unconditional average post, past predictions have varied.

Earlier, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists said they now see a 65% chance of a US recession in the next 12 months, citing President Donald Trump ’s tariffs on US trading highlighting how quickly forecasts can change based on evolving economic circumstances.

Goldman Sachs\' Previous Recession Estimates

Goldman Sachs had a previous estimate at 25%, cut now to just 20%. This reflects the dynamic nature of economic forecasting and the constant adjustments made based on new data.

Conclusion: Staying Informed and Prepared

While the current Goldman Sachs recession chance stands at 20%, remaining vigilant and informed is crucial. Stay updated on the latest economic indicators and expert analyses to make informed decisions about your finances and investments. Remember that economic predictions are not definitive, and the future remains uncertain.

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